PUB Uncertainty Working Group 7

Uncertainty Estimation for Hydrological Modeling

Objective

The main task of this WG is to stimulate progress and guidance on uncertainty estimation and model evaluation (diagnostics) theory and techniques for hydrological science and for operational use. The fundamental science questions are:

(a) How can we (explicitly) estimate and propagate all sources of uncertainty in hydrological modeling?

(b) What is an appropriate framework for (model/method) evaluation under uncertainty?

Members (currently incomplete list)

Beven Keith K.Beven@lancaster.ac.uk

Blazkova Sarka sarka_blazkova@vuv.cz

Casper Markus casper@uni-trier.de

Clark Martyn mp.clark@niwa.co.nz

Diodato Nazzareno scodalabdiodato@gmail.com

Feyen Luc luc.feyen@geo.kuleuven.ac.be

Freer Jim j.freer@lancaster.ac.uk

Goetzinger Jens Jens.Goetzinger@iws.uni-stuttgart.de

Gupta Hoshin hoshin.gupta@hwr.arizona.edu

Iorgulescu Ion Ion.Iorgulescu@epfl.ch

Jackson Bethania b.m.Jackson@imperial.ac.uk

Kolberg Sjur Sjur.Kolberg@sintef.no

Lischeid Gunnar gunnar.liescheid@bitoek.uni-bayreuth.de

Liu Yuqiong Yuqiong.Liu@noaa.gov

McIntyre Neil n.mcintyre@imperial.ac.uk

Meixner Tom tmeixner@hwr.arizona.edu

Menzel Lucas menzel@pik-potsdam.de

Montanari Alberto alberto.montanari@unibo.it

Reichert Peter reichert@eawag.ch

Rientjes Tom rientjes@itc.nl

Schaefli Bettina b.schaefli@tudelft.nl

Schulz Karsten k2.schulz@tu-bs.de

Smith Paul p.j.smith@lancs.ac.uk

Vandenberghe Vero vero@biomath.ugent.be

Vrugt Jasper vrugt@lanl.go

Wagener Thorsten thorsten@engr.psu.edu

Wheater Howard h.wheater@imperial.ac.uk

Wriedt Gunter gunter.wriedt@ufz.de

Young Peter p.young@lancaster.ac.uk

Zehe Erwin ezehe@rz.uni-potsdam.de

WG Publications

Wagener, T., Freer, J., Zehe, E., Beven, K., Gupta, H.V., Bardossy, A., and 20 co-authors. 2006. Towards an uncertainty framework for predictions in ungauged basins: The uncertainty working group. In Sivapalan, M., Wagener, T., Uhlenbrook, S., Zehe, E., Lakshmi, V., Liang, X., Tachikawara, Y. and Kumar, P. (eds.) Predictions in ungauged basins (PUB): Promise and progress. IAHS Redbook, No. 303, 454-462.

WG Activities

Workshop, “Towards Improved Evaluation and Diagnostics of Hydrological and Environmental Models”

Bertinoro, Italy, 2007

Workshop, “Uncertainty Analysis in Environmental Modeling”

Lugano, Italy, 2006

http://www.es.lancs.ac.uk/hfdg/uncertainty_workshop/uncert_intro.htm